According to the standing results of our unscientific poll, 87 percent of you think the plaintiffs will win in the federal Perry trial, with Judge Vaughn Walker declaring Prop 8 unconstitutional. Great! But from there, everyone expects the case to be appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court. And if the justices take the case, are you still so hopeful about your chances?
Americans at large are not, according to a new poll from Angus Reid Public Opinion, the Canadian-based (but global) survey firm. If Perry heads to Washington, 52 percent of respondents believe the Supreme Court will vote to define marriage as between a man and a woman, declaring Prop 8 and the Defense of Marriage Act as perfectly constitutional. Just 28 percent said the Supremes will declare marriage as between any two persons. The breakdown by gender was roughly equivalent.
Moreover, of that same set of respondents, 58 percent said they want the high court to rule that way. Jeez, it’s like none of you have any faith in Justice Anthony Kennedy.
Worth nothing: The poll, of 1,000 Americans, took place over Jan. 12-13, just as Perry was getting underway. (Full results here; PDF.)