History is being made around us in the current presidential campaign. Unfortunately, it’s really bad history.
Based on the results of this week’s Super Tuesday primaries, Donald Trump is virtually unstoppable on the path to the Republican presidential nomination. Trump won seven of the 11 states up for grabs, often by double-digit margins. When he announced his campaign last summer, political opinion (including Queerty’s) was that Trump was the perfect punchline for years of Republican lunacy.
As it turns out the joke is on us.
Trump has tapped into a deep vein of insecurity among a core group of voters, largely white, blue-collar, less educated voters. They have good reasons to feel insecure, most notably that the economy has not been kind to them. They also have bad reasons: being white isn’t all it used to be, which to them feels like a loss.
Emboldened by Trump’s unvarnished hate speech, his supporters have happily shared beliefs that most of us would have liked to think disappeared years ago. It’s not just the build-the-wall, ban-the-Muslims beliefs, which are bad enough. It’s beliefs that are so extremist as to defy credibility.
Chief among them is that a third of Trump supports would ban gay and lesbian immigrants from entering the U.S. Not even Ted Cruz‘s supporters could hit that number (only 17% of them would build a lavender wall).
It’s always impossible to predict what fear Trump will exploit or what group he will choose to belittle. Maybe he will steer clear of bashing gays the way he’s bashed Mexicans. But it’s not a good sign that Trump is willing to lean on some of America’s premier homophobes.
The scariest quality (if you can call it that) of Trump voters is that they have authoritarian tendencies. They want someone who is going to take charge, implement extreme policies, and act like a strongman, all under the guise of “telling it like it is,” This is not a good sign for anyone deemed an outsider.
Having been fed a steady diet of apocalyptic rhetoric from the Republican party and Fox News, the GOP base can’t entirely be blamed for being where they are. The party, on the other hand, can be. It is now gobsmacked that voters actually believe that stuff and, worse still, are holding it against them.
What are the options? As delusional as ever, the Republican establishment still thinks that it can somehow stop Trump without confronting his supporters. There’s a lot of talk about a brokered convention, which assumes that Trump gets close to winning the nomination but doesn’t quite clinch it. That’s possible, of course, but increasingly unlikely. In any case, Trump’s delegates will hardly sit still for the party stealing the nomination from their candidate at the last minute.
Besides, the alternatives are pretty unappealing. Ted Cruz is universally despised by other Republicans, but he has the most number of delegates after Trump and he at least has the veneer of credentials acceptable for a presidential candidate.
Marco Rubio, the repository of the Republican elites’ hopes, is turning out to be the little robot that couldn’t. So far, Rubio has won one state–Minnesota. About the best that can be said of that victory is that it ranks above America Samoa in terms of importance in the primary season. Barely. He’s 20 points behind Trump in the polls in his home state of Florida.
The fact is, in the absence of some earth-shattering blunder, Trump will be the GOP nominee. If failing to disavow the KKK doesn’t count as earth-shattering–and it hasn’t–nothing ever will.
And if you think a Trump nomination means Hillary Clinton has the White House all sewn up, think again. This year has been so unpredictable that conventional wisdom simply doesn’t apply. Trump might hit on the exact message he needs to win. In fact, he may already have done so.
Even if Trump does eventually lose, he will have left a trail of ruin behind him, including the demise of the Republican party.
That’s what i told you before. LGBT in Amouuuurika are screwed !
So much fear mongering in that article, it’s laughable. Trump did denounce the KKK, several times, but his mic was not working right. Hillary Clinton has been photographed with Duke and praised your senior Senator Byrd, who was a leader in the KKK. Hypocrisy much?
Back in the 1970s, immigration officials in the US used to ask incoming travellers if they were communists or homosexuals. We lied back then. We’ll lie again, if necessary.
Hillary will win big.
Meanwhile, the EU is considering building a wall to keep out refugees…
And Hillary is likely going to be charged for using her bathroom email server to transmit top secret emails…
Great that we have such a f’ed up world…
OH DARN!! We were hoping for a GOP candidate who really HATES gay people and has the record to prove it. Thanks to Donald Trump we aren’t going to have the possibility of having a homophobic president like Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio. That’s awful.
I wonder if he will grow the little mustache above his lip if he gets elected.
Suppose for a minute that Herr Drumpf had decided NOT to run for president. In that case the Grumpy Old People nominee would be Cruz or Rubio – business as usual, only more religious and with more war, and MUCH more anti-gay.
At least Drumpf realizes the Iraq war was based on lies, and says so. At least Drumpf would be willing occasionally to tell Israel to go fvck itself. At least Drumpf wouldn’t start World War 3 based on some Bible verse. (I was always afraid GWB would do that.) At least Drumpf wants to protect Social Security and Medicare instead of coming up with crazy ways to “privatize” them. At least Drumpf defends Planned Parenthood (somewhat). … I’m trying to find the silver lining in this cloud!
Well, black and latino people in this country have dealt with white supremacists and [email protected] presidents and Congresses before (Woodrow Wilson, Ronald Reagan, etc.), so I guess Trump’s gay supporters will have to experience what it’s like to have rights stripped away, and have the economy and globe in free fall again to wake up. George W. Bush’s homophobic, economically and globally disastrous presidency should have been enough but clearly it wasn’t, because for some racial supremacy and tax cuts trump all. Thankfully many Republicans are disgusted and may hold their noses to vote for Hillary Clinton (or Bernie Sanders, the truly positive choice) in November.
Its sad but the GOP has no other choice BUT to resurrect Mitt Romney. All signs are pointing to it. Cruz and Rubio are what they are, a minority (latino) that the old guard of the GOP simply do not want and have now grown tired of paying lip service to. I like Trump and his use of plain english when he speaks to an audience. But a certain part of me knows this guy is going to be an absolute disaster on the world stage.
The GOP establishment doesn’t know what to do about Donald Trump. Watching them twist in the wind is delightful.
Queerty and all you gay readers are so dumb. We should all be glad that Trump is leading the Gop and not the homophobic bible thumpers Cruz and Rubio. It is true that Trump has New York values. He loves the gays!!! Unlike everyone else in this race (Republican or Democrat), Trump has actually created jobs for tens of thousands of blue collar workers. Sanders, Clinton, they have never done a thing for working people except make speeches.
“IF” a republican has to become president I much prefer Trump, He is not homophobic and
he is not religious.
The one clear thing from this election is people rejection of religious fanatics, by supporting Trump republicans and undecided are giving a huge finger to the extreme conservative/religious right.
And if a democrat “as I hope” wins, the same goes double, I have never thought I was going to see this in my life time, we are finally breaking the back of bigotry and religious institutions.
@leobaga: If he loves gays so much and is so willing to “tell it like it is” then why does he keep promising to strip LGBT people of their rights?
Trump’s a demagogue so you can’t take anything he says at face value. As an employer, Trump organizations have a good track record with GLB employees. He’s in blue-chip NYC Real Estate and Hotel and Restaurant management so how could he not? Trump promotes talent, and the most important thing for an employee is to work hard and make the Donald richer. If he does that, he could probably wear a feather boa to work if he wanted.
Politically/economically, Trump’s perhaps the first ‘old-school’ or ‘Rockefeller’ (his boyhood hero) Republican to gain national traction since Nixon, which is the real reason why he has the current ultra-conservative establishment, as represented by the Kochs and the odious Adelson, so scared. He’s not against taxing the rich.
Once he gets into office, I’ll bet he ‘sees the light’, just as Obama did, with regard to marriage equality. Contrast with Hillary, who would sell this community out in a heart-beat if it proved expedient, just as she did in 2004.
@leobaga: The most encouraging thing about Trump’s success is that it shows that the religos are losing their hold on the GOP. You’ll never catch the Donald saying he ‘consults the scripture’ before making a big decision!
@Billy Budd: That is my expectation also.
I do not believe what Trump says as he switches comments and denies he says things so I am not fooled by him. After all, he is part of the 1% and is not really interested in the middle class, let alone us LGBTs.
@leobaga: My lifetime partner of 54 years, married almost 12 years in Massachusetts, deserve equal rights. Donald Trump wants to reverse the Supreme Court decision in favor of marriage equality. The fact that he says he loves gays is just another one of his attempts to get votes.
The greatest threat to the GOP is if Trump is elected.
He embodies everything extremely stupid about the GOP and his ascension would prove it.
@GayEGO: don’t be so idiotic. You’re smarter than that. You can’t take away rights that’s already decided by the courts. Trump knows. He’s just trying to court the evangelicals in order to win the nomination. Come election time, he will change his tune.
The Republican party SHOULD go down the drain, they’ve done nothing to implement / govern with conservative principles. They’re still cutting faces off fetuses down the street at Planned Parenthood and selling body parts for profit. And the Republicans have done nothing to stop it. So, goodbye to those pussies.
But Hillary really needs a paddle herself. She’s on the wrong side of radical muslim immigration. Even gays hate her for that. And the DoJ is now giving immunity. Looks like an indictment is increasingly possible. Her ship is sinking. Not that it was ever particularly afloat anyway. Hillary was always a sh it ty candidate. Good luck beating Donald, it’s not going to be easy. He’s got massive, I mean YUGE, YUGE grassroots support.
Here’s how Trump double talk on gays in order to win the homophobic GOP base: http://youtu.be/3HZimsOVnKc
@Kieran: Ahhh, Trump IS homophobic and will try and reverse our gains. As for Hillary, there was NO law broken by her or the other Secretary of States that also used private email servers…..Hillary, 2016 and beyond!
@Wil Chaney: “His mic was not working right”…you actually believed that horseshit defense? He got caught being the uncaring douchewagon that he is, and covered his ass by claiming he couldn’t hear the question. He’ll say and do anything, and tear down and insult anyone, to be and stay on top. He is the epitome of narcissism.
@onthemark: Keep trying. How about, at least he is even remotely qualified to be POTUS…oh, wait….never mind.
@Condor221: Trump has a giant ego, but he is not homophobic he just says what ever it takes to be elected, but he will loose to Hillary.
And yes Hillary did nothing wrong!! All politicians do that and even have paper copies at home and those papers could be stolen, but hey it is not a crime!
HEADLINE: Donald Trump Refusing to Bash Gays to Win GOP nomination.
LGBTQ Activists Outraged!
@ameslake: lol, well no, personally I don’t think he’s “qualified” either but that’s subjective. The Constitution has a pretty low bar: they need to be (a) 35 years or older and (b) a “natural-born citizen” whatever the hell that is and nobody can even agree what that is, except that Cruz maybe isn’t one.
People like Mitt Romney believe in all seriousness that Drumpf is unqualified, but Cruz and Rubio are qualified just because they’ve been snarling in the Senate for a few years, and they’re (supposedly) monogamous (who gives a sh1t?), and they quote the Bible a lot. Ridiculous. (For the record, yeah, I hope he loses to Hillary!)
The world is watching, America. We’re already amazed that there are enough stupid people in the US to get a fool like Trump this far. If you elect him, be prepared to be the butt of and endless onslaught of contemptuous derision that will last a full four years.
@OzJosh: Didn’t that already happen when baby Bush was elected?
Trump has no political background that I am aware of so if he wins the presidency how long do you think he will last? How long before he messes everything up so badly that he is kicked out.
I’m embarrassed for the U.S.A.
Too bad ths article is wrong. As long as Cruz & Rubio siphon away cenvention delegates, it will go down to the wire, and Trump WILL NOT get the nomination. It’ll be Kasich. The GOP wants to win in November and they haven’t a chance with Trump.
@Nahald: That is not the way it works LOL, the winner takes all, as long as Trump get the majority he will win.
Ditto for Hillary, if you look at all upcoming states she has a 60/30 advantage over Sanders, especially in the big states, this is about people voting, most people Prefer Trump and Hillary.
@OzJosh: You said: “be prepared to be the butt of and endless onslaught of contemptuous derision that will last a full four years”.
You mean, just like the last 8. The guy who’s leaving was a genius, right? hahhahahaa. NOT.
If Trump’s main legacy is the destruction of the GOP and conservative coalition then despite his offensive and obnoxious antics, he will have accomplished more to turn this country toward a progressive path than any mainstream liberal Democrat has or is willing to do. By forcing the GOP to the logical conclusion of their failed ideology of the 30 years and exposing its ugly interior which has been cloaked behind Reaganesque fantasies, he has pushed them into a quagmire from which there is no way they can move forward as unified political force. His recklessness has let the genie out of the bottle and no amount of spinning, propaganda, talking points, negative advertising, scapegoating, FOX broadcasting, Limbaugh/Beck blabbing, or brokered political deals are going to put these broken pieces back together again. The biggest danger is some of the far right fringe resort to violence and terrorism as movements deprived of any realistic chance to gain power legitimately have historically done. Even during the Clinton years this started happening with OK bombings and Eric Robert Rudolph. They already have armed militias organized and if enough disenfranchised conservatives begin to feel threatened enough to join the ranks of the fringe right it could lead to something similar to the rise of fascism in 1930’s Europe. It’s a possibility that needs to be watched closely and nipped in the bud early. The far right should never be underestimated. But those are the people to right of Trump and even to the right of Cruz if one can even imagine that. Think David Duke types.
It’s great to see the GOP coming to an end. They’ve worn out their welcome. Big business will drop them when they become impotent.
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