In a blog post last week, the National Organization for Marriage hinted at its future plans, and it’s kind of tragic in a “they really have no idea how close the end is, do they” sort of way. Their goals include lobbying for bills that would allow businesses to opt out of nondiscrimination laws; pushing for a federal constitutional marriage ban; and pressuring presidential candidates to oppose marriage equality.
Of these plans, the threat to undermine nondiscrimination laws (as recently happened in Indiana) is the most credible. Those “turn-away-the-gays” bills have been popping up for years and we’re likely to see more after the Supreme Court rules.
Passing a constitutional amendment, on the other hand, is flat-out impossible at this point, like so many of NOM’s goals. Support for a constitutional amendment was too low for the idea to gain any traction a decade ago, and there is zero chance of drumming up any serious interest now. Maybe they could have passed a constitutional ban in the mid-’90s, if they hadn’t opted for DOMA instead. But they didn’t. Oh well! You snooze you lose, losers.
And NOM might be able to pressure presidential candidates in 2016. They were able to get the Republican candidates to sign an anti-gay pledge four years ago. But they don’t have the political clout they once did, and NOM may not even exist by the time the presidential candidates are all announced.
Considering that NOM’s funding’s dried up, their supporters are evaporating, and they’re millions of dollars in debt, NOM may not even be worth worrying about a year from now.