Circular Firing Squad

Democrats, Get A Grip! One Bad Poll Results Doesn’t Mean The Election Is Over

Even before any punches in tonight’s third, critical debate, have  been thrown, the full Democratic freak-out is getting louder. It began with President Obama’s lousy showing at the first presidential debate in Denver. Liberals immediately leapt to the conclusion that Celine Dion was on the upper deck getting ready to sing “My Heart Goes On.” Andrew Sullivan, who had a hysterical–in every sense of the word–response to the first debate re-enacted the mad scene from King Lear. And while Obama’s performance at the second debate calmed the Chicken Little element of the party, they continue to look skyward with alarm. The latest fear: a Gallup poll that shows Mitt Romney ahead of Obama by seven points. 

Great news for Romney, except for one thing: no other poll has results anywhere like it. Romney got a bounce from the first debate, without question. All the polls show the race tightening. But that was to be expected, given the state of the economy. Obama was defying gravity, and Romney’s stretch of unremitting bad news had to end eventually.

But don’t let Gallup fool you. Romney still has a large rock to roll uphill to win. Obama is still performing well in the swing states he needs to win the electoral vote. To win the election, Romney has to win the majority of the states in play, and perhaps a few that don’t look to be right now. It’s not like he can’t do it, of course, but Ann shouldn’t be measuring the White House for drapes just yet.

Politics ain’t beanball. So for all those weak sisters out there, some words of advice. Look at the general direction of all the polls, not one. Obama’s bounce from the second presidential debate is still to come. And don’t forget the fundamentals. The Democrats have a lot of money and better field operations than the Republicans. In short, there’s a long way to go to Election Day.

In the meantime, get a grip.

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