Most people would agree that right now is not a great time to be Donald Trump.
The one-term, twice-impeached, twice-indicted ex-president is facing more than 70 criminal charges, with more on the horizon. And now, a bunch of polls were just released that all spell out trouble for his 2024 presidential prospects.
Let’s start with the latest from Pew Research. It found that Trump is becoming more and more unfavorable among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents as the primary season heats up.
The poll, which was conducted between July 10 and 16, found his “unfavorable” rating amongst conservative voters up from 24% in 2022 to 32% in 2023. Even more alarming, his “favorable” rating has fallen nearly 10 points, going from 75% in 2022 to 66% in 2023. That’s not the trajectory one wants to be on when the first primaries still more than six months away.
Trump is still the party’s frontrunner, however. At least, for now.
According to FiveThirtyEight‘s latest average, the 77-year-old is currently pulling in an average of 50.8% support amongst Republicans in national polls, far outpacing his closest opponent, Ron “Don’t Say Gay” DeSantis, who’s been hovering around 20% support for a while now.
That said, primary season has only just begun and there’s still plenty of time for Trump’s support to wane and another candidate to take the lead.
In other terrible Trump polling news, another survey has found the vast majority of registered voters support the federal investigation into his role in the January 6 insurrection as well as his failed efforts to overthrow the 2020 presidential election results.
A Harvard University CAPS/Harris Poll conducted July 19 and 20 found 57% of respondents said the case against Trump is either “very strong” or “somewhat strong”. That includes 87% of Democrats, 47% of independents, and 31% of Republicans.
On top of that, 42% said they believe the ex-president is probably guilty of the potential charges he could be facing, while 37% said he is likely innocent and shouldn’t be charged.
Meanwhile, a fifth of respondents said he might be guilty but shouldn’t be indicted because the charges would be “too political” and, god forbid, might interfere with the 2024 election.
Last week, special counsel Jack Smith sent a target letter on behalf of the Justice Department letting Trump know another federal indictment is likely on the way. He was given four days to decide whether to appear before a grand jury, which he declined, instead opting to issue an ALL CAPS statement on Truth Social about witch hunts and bad actors and blah, blah, blah.
Finally, a Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted from July 13 to 17 showed the vast majority Americans think all the scandals surrounding Trump, including the whole Stormy Daniels hush money thing and stealing classified documents from the White House and then storing them in the bathroom of his golf club, are pretty trashy and should disqualify him from running for public office.
When asked whether they believe he’s ever committed a serious crime at any point in his life, 51% of respondents answered in the affirmative and 21% said they weren’t sure. 27% said no.
Asked whether, if convicted of a serious crime in the coming months, Trump should drop out of the race, 60% of respondents answered yes and 13% said they didn’t know, while 27% said he should keep going.
And asked whether, if convicted of a serious crime in the coming months and sentenced to prison, Trump should continue his presidential run from behind bars, 64% said he should probably give it up by that point and 13% said they were on the fence about it. Meanwhile, 22% said he shouldn’t let prison stop him from trying to make American great again, again.
So, what’s the take away from all this?
Mainly, none of this good for Trump. Sure, he has his diehard supporters who will stand by him no matter what, but they’re not enough to win him another four years in the White House, and they might not even be enough to win him the Republican nomination to get there. That remains to be seen until after the debates are underway.
The first GOP primary debate is scheduled for August 23 in Milwaukee and is expected to be a bloodbath. So far, six candidates have qualified to appear on stage: Trump, “Don’t Say Gay” DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, and Chris Christie, with Trump’s former VP, Mike Pence, edging closer.
Get ready, folx. Things are about to get wild.
PubisHairus
I’m looking forward to the continual fracturing of that remaining 27%.
abfab
The shlep in the baseball cap.
Mister P
Republicans deserve him. America on the other hand deserves much much better.
My2CentsWorth
But…., the U. S. will all get him.
DBMC
Vote blue!
WillParkinson
Biden is too old, they say. But Trump? He’s a strong, manly man who can do no wrong, his cult says.
Openminded
I have to agree with you on that. No one seems to discuss his age but gets all butt hurt about Biden’s.
Openminded
Don’t get too hyped up about ALL of these polls. These are OPINION polls. The numbers on approval and disapproval can be taken as good indicators of where Trump stands and which way he’s headed. However, the other polls are again just peoples opinions based without factual evidence in hand to prove those polled know what they are talking about. 42% of those polled may think Trump is guilty but that nothing in the court of law. Not at all intending to imply that he’s innocent, just don’t like to see people get whipped into hopeful wishing just to be let down when the polls turn out to be wrong.
Mack
Big deal, there is over a year between now and the election. Unfortunately he’s a loud mouth liar and will probably be the nominee. I would rather see him against Biden than the Tallahassee Mussolini and his unwoke idiots.
smittoons
Hillary left office as the most popular Democrat in the Obama Administration. Polls are ephemeral and barely worth anything so far out from an election.
You would think Biden more or less competently doing what he was elected to do: not rock the boat, steady the economy, manage the comedown from the pandemic, and not antagonizing allies, would be enough to secure reelection, especially against someone who did such a terrible job his first time and is facing the music for alleged crimes that were inevitable considering his inflated ego.
But this is the America of the 21st century. Biden is old and has been in politics for decades, and Trump is rich and easy to understand because he talks like a child with no filter. Obviously that’s all that matters.
ScottOnEarth
Very well-said, on all points.
basils_Herald
I’m amazed by the team of losers trying to snatch Trumpie’s crown. Pence should be the best equipped to take him down if he weren’t as charismatic as a lead toiletbrush.
While I’m not thrilled about Biden, I’d rather we give up imagining what the Handmaid’s Tale would look like IRL.
Fname Optional Lname
Hearing anyone complain about Biden is just a shock to the system.. Things may not be perfect but the man has the country moving in the right direction. He has accomplished quite a bit considering what he walked into. I can’t believe we have to remind people what it was like during those 4 very long years. Remember, not only did we have to deal with Trump but we had most of his family helping him embarrass the country while they made a mess of pretty much everything. The world sat back in horror. Sorry, but I will take Biden any day over that orange faced playground bully any day
abfab
abfab
And then we need to hear from these GOPTROLLS, the biggest one being Georgeena…..after Queen ShaverC, who likely has the explanation.
Many Republicans like Kevin McCarthy, Marjorie Taylor Greene and Lauren Boebert are trying to score political points by arguing that Joe Biden should be impeached.
And so is one member of Congress who should probably sit this one out: George Santos (R-N.Y.).
On Tuesday, the indicted congressman took to Twitter, er, X, and posted the hashtag #ImpeachBidenNOW without exactly explaining what Biden has done to warrant the act.
TedHentenaar
How do you investigate something that never happened (it was a riot not insurrection), oops, forgot about the Trump Russia collusion hoax.
LumpyPillows
LOL. I have bridge I’d like to sell you. Gullible.
Bosch
@Ted
It was a violent riot against the government. Guess what those are called? Guess what those are called, Ted?
Manray
You”re a blithering idiot on your best day. Fu
dbmcvey
The mental illness known as MAGA.
LumpyPillows
I can only hope he reaches a breaking point and implodes.
abfab
She’s livid.
Melania “livid” over Trump lawyers’ handling of sexual abuse case: report
The former first lady reportedly fumed after Trump confused a photo of E. Jean Carroll for one of his ex-wife
By TATYANA TANDANPOLIE
News Fellow
PUBLISHED JULY 26, 2023 10:18AM (EDT)
johncp56
Lock him up in his gold palace Mar-A-Lardo can not stand his face or voice at all anymore, please end this creeps ranting grifting ways